Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 2.498049 2.884049 3.316252 3.837225 4.449730 5.148855 6.009976
2025-03-30 1.852287 2.341359 2.946245 3.754396 4.813380 6.164131 8.033984
2025-04-06 1.559818 2.094293 2.800968 3.813791 5.244624 7.218333 10.189775
2025-04-13 1.315041 1.850812 2.597329 3.728676 5.426596 7.922951 11.951151
2025-04-20 1.201116 1.762897 2.583256 3.890860 5.964740 9.198687 14.766606
2025-04-27 1.070023 1.627350 2.474380 3.884324 6.230184 10.081619 17.104425
2025-05-04 0.993164 1.561562 2.458458 4.013983 6.723087 11.397086 20.409457
2025-05-11 0.906608 1.467942 2.383634 4.031017 7.020432 12.415213 23.363235
2025-05-18 0.832245 1.384452 2.313345 4.042383 7.303009 13.442124 26.522373
2025-05-25 0.747435 1.273091 2.181449 3.923845 7.323781 13.972484 28.774256
2025-06-01 0.700104 1.221501 2.147620 3.979767 7.683205 15.216648 32.778466
2025-06-08 0.663423 1.184666 2.135461 4.073760 8.129396 16.706033 37.635881
2025-06-15 0.611931 1.121622 2.079693 4.100592 8.499290 18.226933 43.262154
2025-06-22 0.552153 1.037521 1.976421 4.022881 8.650605 19.340851 48.332104
2025-06-29 0.515176 0.992641 1.943487 4.086420 9.125968 21.304461 56.187646
2025-07-06 0.467845 0.921151 1.846850 3.994616 9.221713 22.365487 61.890188
2025-07-13 0.449466 0.906661 1.867027 4.169607 9.996285 25.330056 74.108946
2025-07-20 0.417945 0.860643 1.813248 4.162553 10.311223 27.146491 83.417450
2025-07-27 0.400603 0.843109 1.819939 4.302490 11.038905 30.289680 98.198203
2025-08-03 0.376274 0.807282 1.780493 4.320877 11.440726 32.587055 110.931797
2025-08-10 0.353851 0.773262 1.741037 4.333147 11.829037 34.944932 124.818868
2025-08-17 0.325134 0.721658 1.653612 4.205204 11.784581 35.927640 133.814148
2025-08-24 0.309764 0.699874 1.636266 4.265559 12.321615 38.967750 152.442995